Erzgebirge Aue vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
DRE
2 - 1
ERZ
45%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
ERZ
0 - 3
CHE
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
KFC
1 - 0
ERZ
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
ERZ
1 - 4
LUB
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
OSN
1 - 2
ERZ
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
KÖL
0 - 3
EBT
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
HOL
2 - 1
KÖL
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
KÖL
1 - 4
PRE
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
WER
2 - 0
KÖL
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2001 |
KÖL
1 - 1
PAD
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |