Erzgebirge Aue vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
38.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
KAI
0 - 0
ERZ
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ERZ
0 - 4
STU
12%
20%
68%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
WUR
1 - 1
ERZ
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HAN
2 - 0
ERZ
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
ERZ
1 - 2
FCN
23%
26%
51%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
F95
0 - 2
FCN
32%
25%
42%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
WUR
0 - 0
F95
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
F95
2 - 2
HAN
19%
23%
59%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
STP
0 - 1
F95
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
F95
0 - 3
SGD
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |