Europa League 1/16
Global 1-2
Erzgebirge Aue vs Flamurtari Vlorë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
VAL
1 - 1
ERZ
80%
13%
7%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
ERZ
0 - 0
VAL
22%
21%
57%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
DNI
2 - 1
ERZ
86%
10%
5%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
ERZ
1 - 3
DNI
23%
22%
55%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1960 |
RAP
1 - 0
ERZ
86%
9%
5%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -9 |
Matches
Flamurtari Vlorë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
PAR
2 - 1
FLA
78%
13%
9%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
FLA
2 - 0
PAR
30%
23%
47%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
FCB
0 - 0
FLA
90%
7%
3%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
FLA
1 - 1
FCB
14%
22%
64%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
FLA
1 - 2
HJK
64%
18%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |