Erzgebirge Aue vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 1
FCU
45%
28%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SGF
2 - 0
ERZ
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 0
ROS
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
STP
2 - 3
ERZ
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
ERZ
2 - 4
F95
31%
29%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCN
2 - 2
STU
26%
25%
50%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
WOL
2 - 1
FCN
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FCN
3 - 3
M05
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
FCN
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCN
1 - 1
BRE
20%
21%
59%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |