Erzgebirge Aue vs Dresdner SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1999 |
PLA
2 - 4
ERZ
51%
27%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1999 |
ERZ
0 - 1
LOK
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
BAB
2 - 1
ERZ
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
ERZ
4 - 1
SDC
77%
16%
8%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
ZWI
1 - 0
ERZ
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Dresdner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1999 |
DRE
2 - 0
ERF
35%
25%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
LAS
1 - 2
DRE
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
DRE
1 - 2
BFC
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
SGD
0 - 1
DRE
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
DRE
0 - 2
PLA
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |