Europa League 1/32
Global 2-5
Erzgebirge Aue vs Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
54.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1960 |
RAP
1 - 0
ERZ
86%
9%
5%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1960 |
ERZ
2 - 0
RAP
32%
21%
47%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 1960 |
RAP
3 - 1
ERZ
88%
8%
4%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1959 |
YOB
2 - 1
ERZ
68%
16%
16%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1959 |
ERZ
0 - 0
YOB
37%
21%
42%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
DNI
1 - 1
GIR
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
GIR
1 - 1
DNI
84%
11%
6%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
DNI
2 - 0
LSO
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
LSO
3 - 1
DNI
66%
17%
16%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
DNI
3 - 0
TRA
51%
28%
22%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |