Erzgebirge Aue vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
KFC
1 - 0
ERZ
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
ERZ
1 - 4
LUB
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
OSN
1 - 2
ERZ
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
ERZ
1 - 2
M05
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
ERZ
2 - 0
MAG
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
CHE
2 - 0
EBT
44%
27%
30%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
HOL
2 - 1
CHE
30%
26%
45%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
CHE
2 - 1
PRE
40%
26%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
CHE
2 - 5
KOL
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
WER
2 - 0
CHE
50%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |