Erzgebirge Aue vs BSV Stahl Brandenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
HER
2 - 1
ERZ
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1994 |
ERZ
5 - 0
SSV
67%
20%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1994 |
ERZ
2 - 1
ERF
54%
24%
21%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
HZE
0 - 2
ERZ
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1994 |
SAC
3 - 3
ERZ
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
BSV Stahl Brandenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
BSV
0 - 3
FCU
35%
27%
39%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
CZJ
5 - 2
BSV
57%
25%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 1994 |
BFC
3 - 0
BSV
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
BSV
1 - 2
COT
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
BSV
0 - 11
LEV
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | -2 |