Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Erzgebirge Aue vs Young Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
41.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1959 |
YOB
2 - 2
ERZ
70%
15%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1958 |
ERZ
4 - 0
GÖT
32%
21%
48%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
GÖT
2 - 2
ERZ
76%
13%
11%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
ERZ
4 - 0
PET
37%
23%
40%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +3 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
PET
2 - 0
ERZ
71%
15%
14%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1959 |
YOB
2 - 2
ERZ
70%
15%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1958 |
YOB
4 - 1
MTK
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1958 |
MTK
1 - 2
YOB
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1957 |
VAS
2 - 1
YOB
54%
21%
26%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1957 |
YOB
1 - 1
VAS
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |