Erzgebirge Aue vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
67.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
OSN
0 - 2
ERZ
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HAN
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ERZ
1 - 3
CZJ
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
ERZ
1 - 1
BVB
5%
12%
83%
|
68 | 96 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 4
ERZ
12%
18%
69%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
STR
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
IPT
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
HOL
56%
22%
21%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 3
MON
14%
18%
68%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WEG
0 - 2
MON
3%
9%
88%
|
88 | 37 | 51 | 0 |