Erzgebirge Aue vs Bischofswerdaer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
FCU
0 - 0
ERZ
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1996 |
ERZ
2 - 0
WAC
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
ERZ
1 - 2
SGD
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
HZE
1 - 1
ERZ
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
ERZ
2 - 3
BFC
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bischofswerdaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
BIS
0 - 0
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1996 |
SGD
0 - 0
BIS
72%
20%
8%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
SSV
3 - 0
BIS
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
BIS
3 - 1
LAS
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
BIS
1 - 1
COT
26%
26%
47%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |