Erzgebirge Aue vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
SAC
1 - 1
ERZ
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
OPT
0 - 1
ERZ
37%
28%
36%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
COT
0 - 0
ERZ
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
ERZ
0 - 0
ERF
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
STA
3 - 1
ERZ
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
BFC
2 - 1
LAS
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
BFC
1 - 1
HER
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
BFC
0 - 0
REI
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
WAC
1 - 1
BFC
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
BFC
1 - 0
HZE
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |