Erzgebirge Aue vs B. Leverkusen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
DIE
2 - 3
ERZ
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
F95
3 - 0
ERZ
35%
28%
38%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
ERZ
2 - 1
EBT
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
HOL
1 - 1
ERZ
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
ERZ
3 - 0
PRE
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
BAY
0 - 1
BOR
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
HOL
1 - 2
BAY
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
BAY
4 - 2
PRE
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
WER
1 - 1
BAY
56%
22%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
BAY
2 - 1
PAD
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |