Erzgebirge Aue vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
ROT
1 - 1
ERZ
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ERZ
2 - 0
SAA
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2005 |
SGD
1 - 0
ERZ
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2005 |
ERZ
1 - 2
KOL
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
KSC
0 - 1
ERZ
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
AAA
0 - 1
SGF
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
WAC
2 - 3
AAA
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
MUN
3 - 0
AAA
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
AAA
4 - 0
COT
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
ROT
0 - 2
AAA
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |