Champions League Last 16
Global 1-4
Erzgebirge Aue vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
44.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1957 |
ERZ
1 - 1
GWA
48%
20%
31%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
ERZ
3 - 1
GWA
46%
21%
34%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
GWA
3 - 1
ERZ
71%
15%
14%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
AJA
3 - 1
NAC
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
BOS
0 - 1
AJA
26%
21%
53%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
AJA
3 - 4
DWS
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
FOR
1 - 1
AJA
49%
21%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
AJA
1 - 2
FEY
60%
19%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |