Erzgebirge Aue vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
COT
2 - 3
ERZ
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 0
KAI
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
VFR
2 - 2
ERZ
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
SVS
1 - 0
ERZ
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 0
ING
41%
27%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
KOL
1 - 1
SGF
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SVS
0 - 1
KOL
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
KOL
0 - 1
PAD
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
F95
2 - 3
KOL
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
KOL
3 - 1
SGD
65%
22%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |