FC Erlensee vs Hanauer SC 1960 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
17º
17º
57
2º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Erlensee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 0
FCE
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 1
RWW
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VIK
4 - 1
FCE
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -3 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BAY
3 - 2
FCE
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FCE
4 - 7
MAI
10%
17%
73%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Hanauer SC 1960
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 3
HSC
41%
22%
37%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HSC
4 - 0
WAL
50%
20%
29%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DIE
3 - 1
HSC
26%
21%
54%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
RWW
2 - 3
HSC
42%
21%
37%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
RWW
4 - 5
HSC
46%
21%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |