FC Elva vs Tartu Welco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
8º
7º
30
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 74 |
1º
|
55% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 71 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 64 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 61 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 59 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 57 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 31 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 30 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 28 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 26 |
10º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
35% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
34% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Elva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FAT
2 - 1
FCE
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 4
TAB
28%
21%
52%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FLO
10 - 0
FCE
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
FCE
2 - 1
FAT
43%
22%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FAT
0 - 0
FCE
43%
23%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 6
WEL
31%
24%
46%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 1
FAT
60%
21%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
4 - 0
JKN
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 2
WEL
17%
21%
62%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LAH
1 - 3
WEL
12%
18%
71%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |