Meistriliiga Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 1-3
FC Elva vs TJK Legion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Elva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FCE
3 - 1
LEV
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TUL
0 - 1
FCE
18%
21%
61%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCE
1 - 1
FLO
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
VJK
4 - 1
FCE
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
FCE
3 - 2
FCP
82%
13%
6%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
TJK
2 - 1
PAR
80%
13%
8%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TJK
1 - 1
TAM
35%
23%
42%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KAL
1 - 0
TJK
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TAL
2 - 0
TJK
49%
22%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
TJK
3 - 2
KUR
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |