FC Elva vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
8º
7º
16
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 78 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 70 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 62 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Elva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VJK
2 - 1
FCE
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 4
FCE
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 8
FCE
9%
15%
76%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 0
LEV
26%
24%
51%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 3
FLO
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 4
FLO
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TKA
3 - 0
PAI
61%
19%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 3
PAI
52%
20%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 2
WEL
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 0
PAI
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |