FC Elva vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
8º
7º
16
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 75 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 72 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 70 |
3º
|
56.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 62 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 52 |
5º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
52% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 20 |
10º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Elva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 2
TKA
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 0
FCE
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 0
FCE
74%
15%
11%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 0
WEL
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FAT
2 - 1
FCE
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 6
WEL
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TAB
0 - 1
PAI
63%
18%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 1
TKA
38%
23%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 0
PAI
71%
16%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 2
FCT
37%
22%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |