FC Elva vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
65.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
8º
7º
58
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 78 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 70 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 62 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 80% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Elva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
THJ
1 - 5
FCE
11%
15%
74%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 0
FCE
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
FCE
3 - 1
PAI
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VJK
2 - 1
FCE
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 4
FCE
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HJP
4 - 0
LEV
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
TKA
2 - 6
HJP
22%
21%
57%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HJP
1 - 1
WEL
61%
20%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
HJP
3 - 0
NOM
51%
21%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 3
HJP
49%
22%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |