FC Elva vs FC Flora Tallin II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
50%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
8º
7º
53
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 78 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 70 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 69 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 62 |
4º
|
74.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 49 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 24 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 40% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Elva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 3
FCT
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HJP
5 - 0
FCE
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FCE
3 - 1
TAB
39%
24%
38%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VJK
1 - 1
FCE
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 2
PAI
43%
23%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora Tallin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 1
WEL
52%
22%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TAB
2 - 0
FLO
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 3
VJK
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
2 - 4
FLO
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
TKA
1 - 3
FLO
41%
24%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |