FC Eintracht Münchberg vs Würzburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
45.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
12º
18º
17º
31
3º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 72 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 69 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 69 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 65 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 53 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 43 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 40 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 15 |
18º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
91.5% | 24% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Eintracht Münchberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
DJK
3 - 0
FCE
64%
17%
19%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 2
KOR
23%
20%
57%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NEU
6 - 2
FCE
69%
17%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 1
AMM
22%
19%
59%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +3 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 0
TSK
50%
22%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
WUR
1 - 3
ELT
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
REG
6 - 0
WUR
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WUR
0 - 1
ING
36%
23%
40%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
WUR
5 - 1
JRE
38%
24%
39%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EIC
1 - 1
WUR
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |