FC Eintracht Münchberg vs Fortuna Regensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
51.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
12º
18º
17º
12
6º
18º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
14.5% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
77.5% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Eintracht Münchberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ING
4 - 3
FCE
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 3
EIC
19%
21%
61%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
WEI
3 - 0
FCE
71%
16%
14%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 1
TSV
28%
25%
47%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 1
FCE
63%
21%
17%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REG
2 - 2
ELT
23%
22%
55%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
REG
3 - 3
TSK
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ING
1 - 1
REG
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
REG
2 - 3
EIC
24%
22%
55%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
WEI
4 - 1
REG
52%
20%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |