FC Eintracht Münchberg vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
47.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
12º
18º
17º
21
6º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 72 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 69 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 69 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 65 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 53 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 43 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 40 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 15 |
18º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
91.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Eintracht Münchberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
NEU
0 - 0
FCE
55%
21%
25%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 2
BAY
15%
19%
66%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 4
FCE
26%
22%
53%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 1
SCG
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 0
FSS
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
0 - 1
ELT
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 1
NEU
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WUR
0 - 4
BAY
22%
21%
58%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 1
HAH
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
JRE
2 - 0
BAY
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |