FC Eindhoven vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
HEL
1 - 0
EIN
73%
17%
11%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
EIN
1 - 1
GAE
21%
22%
57%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
HER
1 - 0
EIN
77%
15%
9%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
EIN
1 - 1
FOR
51%
24%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
BVV
1 - 4
EIN
64%
19%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 0
MVV
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
BVO
1 - 0
EXC
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
EXC
1 - 2
FCO
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
VOL
2 - 0
EXC
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |