FC Eindhoven vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1976 |
SPA
0 - 1
EIN
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
EIN
2 - 3
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
TEL
0 - 2
EIN
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
EIN
0 - 1
TWE
13%
20%
67%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
ADO
6 - 0
EIN
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1976 |
EXC
2 - 0
MVV
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
NEC
1 - 1
EXC
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 5
GAE
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
FEY
4 - 2
EXC
90%
7%
2%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
EXC
4 - 2
TWE
14%
28%
59%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | +2 |