Eagles Aarau vs Freienbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eagles Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
PAJ
0 - 1
EAA
60%
20%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
EAA
9 - 1
EIN
84%
11%
5%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
DIE
4 - 1
EAA
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
EAA
0 - 0
FCA
91%
7%
2%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
FCM
3 - 1
EAA
57%
20%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 0
WAN
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
PAJ
3 - 1
FRE
59%
20%
22%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 1
FCW
9%
16%
75%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
EIN
2 - 3
FRE
15%
17%
68%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 1
OLT
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |