Dynamo Makhachkala vs FC Orenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
15º
13º
8
4º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 22 |
16º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
23.5% | 13% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
42% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
34.5% | 60.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Makhachkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ZEN
2 - 1
DMK
83%
13%
4%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DMK
1 - 1
AKT
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
DMK
0 - 1
SPA
15%
22%
64%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DMK
0 - 1
CSK
11%
23%
66%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FAK
1 - 1
DMK
39%
31%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Orenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
KRA
4 - 0
GAZ
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GAZ
1 - 2
FCR
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 0
KHI
51%
22%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 2
KRS
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ZEN
1 - 0
GAZ
76%
16%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |