Druzhba vs UCSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+176%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
6º
3º
62
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
43.5% | 34.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
56.5% | 65.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Druzhba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
FCD
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCD
2 - 0
FKK
32%
21%
47%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 3
FCD
6%
12%
82%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
0 - 1
FCD
20%
20%
61%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCD
2 - 0
NYV
12%
20%
68%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | +2 |
Matches
UCSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
UCS
1 - 1
FCZ
14%
19%
67%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
MET
0 - 2
UCS
79%
13%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
UCS
4 - 0
RPH
12%
17%
71%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +7 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 2
UCS
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 3
UCS
82%
13%
5%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | +1 |