Druzhba vs Lokomotiv Kyiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
6º
3º
28
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
43.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
56.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Druzhba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
NYV
2 - 1
FCD
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
FCD
2 - 3
FNB
9%
15%
76%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
POL
4 - 2
FCD
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
FED
1 - 3
FCD
74%
16%
11%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FCD
2 - 0
FKC
39%
23%
39%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 2
FKK
21%
20%
60%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 2
FCD
12%
17%
71%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 1
FCL
85%
10%
5%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FCL
3 - 1
ZOL
17%
19%
65%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 2
FCZ
13%
19%
68%
|
26 | 65 | 39 | 0 |