FC Drita vs Malisheva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
6º
5º
10
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
10 | 11 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 10 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 10 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
59% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 7 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 7 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
8º
|
89% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
9º
|
91.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
18.5% | 50.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
6% | 49.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Drita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
FCD
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FCD
1 - 0
BRE
38%
23%
39%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 2
FCD
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ARK
1 - 1
FCD
50%
23%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SHK
4 - 0
FCD
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Malisheva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
BUD
3 - 0
UEM
40%
23%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
UEM
1 - 0
BUD
56%
21%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
TIK
3 - 2
UEM
20%
22%
59%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
KFB
2 - 2
UEM
47%
23%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UEM
7 - 4
LIR
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |