FC Drita vs Ferizaj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
4º
1º
20
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 25 |
6º
|
59.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 23 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
85.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 41% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Drita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
FCD
0 - 1
WAR
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 0
FCD
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FCD
3 - 1
AUD
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
FCD
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FCD
1 - 0
BRE
38%
23%
39%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ferizaj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FER
1 - 3
PRI
35%
30%
35%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
UEM
1 - 1
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
FER
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
GJI
3 - 2
FER
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |