FC Drita vs Ferizaj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
5º
4º
4
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 16 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 14 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 14 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 13 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 13 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 13 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 10 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 9 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 7 |
9º
|
49.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 4 |
10º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
10% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
26% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 22% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 23% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 55% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Drita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
FCD
0 - 1
WAR
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 0
FCD
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FCD
3 - 1
AUD
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
FCD
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FCD
1 - 0
BRE
38%
23%
39%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ferizaj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FER
1 - 3
PRI
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
UEM
1 - 1
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
FER
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
GJI
3 - 2
FER
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |