Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
75%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
FCD
1 - 3
PSV
15%
21%
65%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
ALK
0 - 1
FCD
61%
20%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
FCD
2 - 6
BOS
20%
24%
56%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
FCD
3 - 0
FCO
22%
22%
57%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
FCD
0 - 1
FCO
29%
25%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
JON
1 - 3
VOL
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
RKC
4 - 1
JON
14%
19%
68%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
JON
2 - 2
PSV
50%
24%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
JON
2 - 0
SPA
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 3
JON
23%
21%
56%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |