Dordrecht vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
FCD
3 - 1
EIN
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1999 |
HER
1 - 1
FCD
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
FCD
0 - 1
RBC
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
NAC
4 - 0
FCD
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
FCD
2 - 4
EXC
48%
24%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
HFC
4 - 1
VVV
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1999 |
ADO
0 - 1
HFC
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
HFC
4 - 0
BVV
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 1999 |
ZWO
3 - 0
HFC
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1999 |
HFC
4 - 5
EIN
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |