Dordrecht vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
75.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
EIN
5 - 1
FCD
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
FCD
0 - 3
JUT
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
FCD
2 - 4
UTR
7%
14%
79%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
VOL
7 - 1
FCD
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FCD
2 - 2
ALM
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 0
NAC
59%
22%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 5
VOL
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
FCO
0 - 2
GRA
11%
19%
71%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
TWE
1 - 3
GRA
39%
24%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 1
PSV
71%
17%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |