Dordrecht vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
FCD
2 - 0
FCO
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
ZWO
2 - 1
FCD
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
EIN
2 - 1
FCD
39%
25%
37%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
FCD
1 - 1
RBC
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
FCD
1 - 1
TEL
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
WIL
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
GRA
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 6
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
SCH
2 - 0
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FEY
1 - 3
GRA
73%
17%
11%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |