Dordrecht vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
FCD
2 - 3
BVO
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
EIN
0 - 8
FCD
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
FCD
2 - 0
RBC
62%
22%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
HEL
1 - 1
FCD
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
ZWO
3 - 5
FCD
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 0
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 2
BVO
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 2
APE
31%
24%
45%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
GAE
2 - 0
FOR
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
0 - 0
FOR
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |