Dordrecht vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
79.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
VOL
7 - 1
FCD
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FCD
2 - 2
ALM
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
BVO
5 - 0
FCD
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
FCO
2 - 0
FCD
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
FCD
2 - 0
ALK
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
UTR
2 - 1
TWE
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GRO
0 - 0
UTR
21%
23%
56%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
ZWO
3 - 3
UTR
24%
22%
54%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
UTR
1 - 1
SCH
51%
23%
27%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
UTR
3 - 1
RKC
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |