Dordrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
FCD
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
HER
3 - 0
FCD
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
PSV
0 - 1
FCD
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
FCD
2 - 4
BVO
15%
22%
63%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
BOS
3 - 2
FCD
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 3
BVO
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 2
EIN
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
FCO
0 - 2
EXC
21%
24%
56%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
47%
23%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
RJC
1 - 4
EXC
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |