Dordrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
FCD
2 - 0
HFC
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
FCO
4 - 0
FCD
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
MVV
1 - 3
FCD
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
FCD
5 - 0
TEL
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
VVV
0 - 1
FCD
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
BVV
2 - 0
EXC
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
EXC
3 - 3
VVV
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
EXC
3 - 2
FCE
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
GAE
4 - 1
EXC
39%
24%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
EXC
2 - 1
VOL
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |