Dordrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
FCD
3 - 3
FCO
42%
25%
34%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
FCE
3 - 0
FCD
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
FCD
2 - 2
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
TEL
2 - 3
FCD
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1998 |
HEL
3 - 0
FCD
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1998 |
GAE
2 - 2
EXC
70%
18%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
EIN
3 - 2
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 1
BOS
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
BVV
1 - 2
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 2
HFC
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |