Dordrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1998 |
FCO
5 - 1
FCD
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
FCD
0 - 1
HEL
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
EIN
6 - 1
FCD
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1998 |
FCD
4 - 0
TEL
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
FCD
1 - 3
ADO
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 2
TEL
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
EXC
2 - 0
EIN
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 1
VVV
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
BOS
3 - 0
EXC
72%
17%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 0
RBC
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |