Dordrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
73%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
TWE
3 - 0
FCD
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FCD
0 - 0
BVO
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 0
FCD
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
FCD
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
FCD
2 - 3
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
AJA
3 - 0
BVO
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ZWO
1 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 0
NAC
74%
18%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
UTR
1 - 1
AJA
25%
23%
52%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |