Dons vs TuPS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
67.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
DON
3 - 2
PNN
26%
21%
53%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 3
DON
39%
22%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
TuPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 2
TUP
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TUP
1 - 0
FCL
90%
7%
3%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
MPS
4 - 2
TUP
81%
12%
8%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
HYP
3 - 4
TUP
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NJA
0 - 2
TUP
16%
17%
67%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |