Dons vs HPS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
74.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
DON
1 - 2
TUP
15%
17%
68%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
DON
3 - 2
PNN
26%
21%
53%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 3
DON
39%
22%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
HPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
VJS
0 - 2
HPS
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
HPS
0 - 1
ATM
64%
18%
19%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
HPS
7 - 0
GNO
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
PPJ
0 - 4
HPS
13%
16%
71%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TOT
0 - 5
HPS
5%
10%
85%
|
32 | 5 | 27 | +1 |