Dila Gori vs Samtredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
3º
1º
16
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 69 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 68 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 66 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 55 |
4º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 45 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 36 |
8º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 25 |
10º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
40% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
55.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 86% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dila Gori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DTB
1 - 1
GOR
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 3
SAB
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FTK
1 - 5
GOR
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 1
TEL
64%
23%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
GOR
39%
28%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
SAM
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DTB
1 - 1
SAM
75%
17%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
GAG
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SAB
3 - 1
SAM
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 3
KOL
28%
26%
47%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |