Dila Gori vs Samtredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
3º
1º
11
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
39 | 67 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 64 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 63 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 62 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 56 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 45 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 44 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 35 |
8º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 33 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 24 |
10º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
43% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
41.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
15.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dila Gori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
DTB
2 - 2
GOR
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 1
SAB
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FTK
1 - 0
GOR
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 0
TEL
66%
22%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
GOR
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
SAM
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
DTB
1 - 1
SAM
78%
14%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 3
GAG
50%
24%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 2
SAM
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
KOL
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |