Dila Gori vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
3º
3º
31
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 71 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 67 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 66 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 56 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
51% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 32 |
9º
|
47.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
82.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dila Gori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 1
GOR
20%
26%
54%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 3
GOR
32%
28%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 0
DBA
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 0
SAM
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
DTB
2 - 2
GOR
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 1
DTB
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 3
SAB
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
FTK
3 - 1
SAM
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
TEL
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
SAM
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |